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Red216
183373.9
2056119.8
389139.2
Blue165
704841.1
136939.7
49467.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262119050100150200300350400216165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points30
54Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +33
26Coral scored#21
94Coral points77
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
18Processor points18
28Net points12
46Algae points30
140Total teleop107
Reef
14L4#11
9L3#6
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
45Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points12
216Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.81.8
110.7108.9
Auto30.9
Teleop76.5
End12.4
red by 52.2
494
#47
67.61.6
70.672.2
Auto15.0
Teleop41.8
End10.8
Second
1833
#22
73.91.8
75.573.8
Auto17.3
Teleop47.2
End9.5
red by 32.8
7048
#62
41.11.6
23.825.4
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End6.5
Third
3891
#46
39.22.0
41.639.7
Auto8.7
Teleop28.1
End2.4
blue by 0.4
1369
#50
39.71.6
25.827.4
Auto6.1
Teleop30.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned