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Red91
445171.0
53738.0
931245.8
Blue113
857549.6
601737.2
148149.1
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1731395010020025030091113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+30
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points22
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +17
15Coral scored#18
54Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
68Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
91Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#34
71.05.0
66.761.7
Auto14.5
Teleop50.1
End6.4
red by 21.4
8575
#21
49.61.3
44.543.2
Auto6.7
Teleop40.0
End2.9
Second
9312
#64
45.85.0
51.846.8
Auto12.0
Teleop27.2
End6.7
blue by 3.2
1481
#70
49.11.3
48.847.5
Auto11.2
Teleop31.5
End6.4
Third
537
#68
38.05.0
41.736.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End4.6
red by 0.8
6017
#44
37.21.3
33.432.1
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed