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Red144
400554.7
608335.1
328446.7
Blue155
64940.8
930136.1
243850.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291426080100120160180200220144155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+23
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points33
30Total auto33
Teleoperatedlevel
20Coral scored#21
72Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
96Total teleop96
Reef
11L4#13
7L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
12Foul points0
144Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#29
54.70.3
49.049.3
Auto9.5
Teleop35.6
End9.6
red by 4.2
2438
#72
50.50.9
55.156.0
Auto11.5
Teleop37.8
End1.3
Second
3284
#63
46.70.3
39.139.4
Auto6.7
Teleop39.9
End0.1
red by 5.9
649
#52
40.80.9
38.439.3
Auto8.9
Teleop28.4
End3.6
Third
6083
#67
35.10.3
23.724.1
Auto7.8
Teleop23.2
End4.1
blue by 1.0
9301
#36
36.10.9
30.431.3
Auto7.9
Teleop18.3
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned