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Red239
441582.7
699569.7
873857.3
Blue205
69496.5
401320.7
142573.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203188150250239205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+44Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points35
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +51
27Coral scored#18
96Coral points65
7Processor algae#5
12Net algae#10
42Processor points30
48Net points40
90Algae points70
186Total teleop135
Reef
14L4#8
9L3#9
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
53Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
239Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.72.3
75.477.7
Auto13.7
Teleop57.6
End11.4
blue by 13.8
694
#9
96.51.0
94.095.0
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
Second
6995
#13
69.72.3
60.963.3
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
blue by 3.4
1425
#12
73.21.0
67.468.4
Auto19.5
Teleop43.6
End10.0
Third
8738
#26
57.32.3
53.956.3
Auto15.6
Teleop40.4
End1.3
red by 36.5
4013
#65
20.71.0
14.515.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned