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Red215
264863.7
461368.4
465578.8
Blue219
17979.1
919947.6
22671.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2001960100300400215219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
43Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +3
31Coral scored#31
110Coral points111
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
18Processor points18
28Net points24
46Algae points42
156Total teleop153
Reef
15L4#17
11L3#7
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#7
48Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
215Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.80.9
71.272.0
Auto21.3
Teleop48.0
End9.5
blue by 0.3
179
#5
79.11.3
73.074.4
Auto15.2
Teleop55.8
End8.0
Second
4613
#42
68.40.9
58.659.5
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6
blue by 3.3
226
#17
71.61.3
69.370.6
Auto18.6
Teleop43.7
End9.3
Third
2648
#59
63.70.9
61.262.1
Auto11.1
Teleop47.8
End4.8
red by 16.1
9199
#48
47.61.3
45.646.9
Auto10.9
Teleop28.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned