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Red224
596838.0
173164.0
150765.6
Blue160
1026019.8
719752.5
496764.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16613750100150200250224160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+30Teleop
+52Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points28
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +27
23Coral scored#22
82Coral points79
4Processor algae#2
10Net algae#7
24Processor points12
40Net points28
64Algae points40
146Total teleop119
Reef
11L4#9
8L3#11
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#37
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
12Foul points0
224Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#25
65.62.9
60.963.8
Auto13.4
Teleop42.6
End9.7
red by 1.1
4967
#27
64.50.8
56.557.3
Auto13.9
Teleop41.4
End9.2
Second
1731
#37
64.02.9
50.353.2
Auto14.8
Teleop39.3
End9.9
red by 11.6
7197
#60
52.50.8
53.053.8
Auto11.8
Teleop40.1
End0.6
Third
5968
#74
38.02.9
38.441.3
Auto10.5
Teleop25.5
End2.0
red by 18.2
19.80.8
18.319.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed