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Red234
317374.8
450063.7
272449.2
Blue252
379253.3
943270.2
212969.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19321150100150250300350234252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
33Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +14
24Coral scored#39
85Coral points141
6Processor algae#3
11Net algae#5
36Processor points18
44Net points20
80Algae points38
165Total teleop179
Reef
13L4#19
5L3#12
6L2#13
5L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#56
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
234Total score252

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#45
74.83.2
68.671.8
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7
red by 4.6
9432
#23
70.23.6
61.665.2
Auto16.5
Teleop44.5
End9.2
Second
4500
#56
63.73.2
58.261.4
Auto16.0
Teleop39.7
End7.9
blue by 5.8
2129
#51
69.53.6
62.065.6
Auto18.2
Teleop48.9
End2.4
Third
2724
#40
49.23.2
37.140.3
Auto8.2
Teleop32.1
End8.8
blue by 4.1
3792
#10
53.33.6
51.455.0
Auto10.6
Teleop33.4
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned