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Red152
642469.1
90067.8
634838.4
Blue127
389139.2
445171.0
349232.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19614250100250152127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
16Coral scored#19
59Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
99Total teleop92
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#7
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points6
152Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.11.6
67.465.8
Auto13.4
Teleop43.1
End12.6
blue by 1.9
4451
#34
71.00.7
61.761.0
Auto14.5
Teleop50.1
End6.4
Second
900
#19
67.81.6
71.269.6
Auto18.1
Teleop48.8
End0.9
red by 28.6
3891
#46
39.20.7
39.739.0
Auto8.7
Teleop28.1
End2.4
Third
6348
#41
38.41.6
38.036.4
Auto5.9
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 5.8
3492
#61
32.60.7
30.129.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed