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Red137
243850.5
442156.8
53738.0
Blue227
69496.5
329757.0
703463.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150237050100200300350137227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+60
Endgame+90
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
6Coral scored#12
31Coral points58
37Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +39
17Coral scored#24
60Coral points87
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#4
18Processor points30
16Net points16
34Algae points46
94Total teleop133
Reef
9L4#10
8L3#12
3L2#9
3L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points0
137Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4421
#32
56.81.3
52.851.5
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.5
blue by 39.7
694
#9
96.50.4
95.095.4
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
Second
2438
#72
50.51.3
56.054.7
Auto11.5
Teleop37.8
End1.3
blue by 12.8
7034
#38
63.30.4
59.359.7
Auto16.6
Teleop40.9
End5.9
Third
537
#68
38.01.3
36.835.5
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End4.6
blue by 18.9
3297
#11
57.00.4
56.156.5
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned