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Red211
22671.6
460777.6
1029135.2
Blue223
17979.1
857549.6
566065.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191186160180200220240211223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points26
46Total auto35
TeleoperatedBlue +11
24Coral scored#22
85Coral points78
4Processor algae#5
10Net algae#13
24Processor points30
40Net points52
64Algae points82
149Total teleop160
Reef
13L4#13
5L3#7
7L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points2
211Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#31
77.62.4
67.970.2
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
blue by 1.5
179
#5
79.12.7
74.477.0
Auto15.2
Teleop55.8
End8.0
Second
226
#17
71.62.4
70.673.0
Auto18.6
Teleop43.7
End9.3
red by 5.8
5660
#28
65.92.7
51.954.6
Auto12.6
Teleop45.4
End7.9
Third
35.22.4
25.828.2
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End6.0
blue by 14.4
8575
#21
49.62.7
43.245.9
Auto6.7
Teleop40.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned