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Red196
948440.9
401320.7
1678105.6
Blue180
30268.2
173164.0
264863.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168204100150250300350196180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points38
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +16
27Coral scored#22
96Coral points78
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
12Processor points18
28Net points24
40Algae points42
136Total teleop120
Reef
9L4#10
14L3#8
5L2#8
7L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
196Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.62.3
97.7100.0
Auto27.0
Teleop66.4
End12.2
red by 37.3
302
#35
68.21.1
70.269.1
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
Second
9484
#55
40.92.3
37.039.3
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End4.8
blue by 23.1
1731
#37
64.01.1
53.252.1
Auto14.8
Teleop39.3
End9.9
Third
4013
#65
20.72.3
15.517.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.4
blue by 42.9
2648
#59
63.71.1
62.161.0
Auto11.1
Teleop47.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
64%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned