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Red199
943270.2
406878.0
596838.0
Blue228
699569.7
465578.8
64940.8
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191183100150250300199228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave3
7Coral scored#11
34Coral points55
43Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +14
21Coral scored#29
76Coral points104
6Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
36Processor points18
28Net points32
64Algae points50
140Total teleop154
Reef
11L4#17
9L3#9
5L2#10
3L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
199Total score228

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#14
78.00.4
72.773.0
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
blue by 0.8
78.82.6
72.074.7
Auto21.3
Teleop48.0
End9.5
Second
9432
#23
70.20.4
65.265.6
Auto16.5
Teleop44.5
End9.2
red by 0.5
6995
#13
69.72.6
63.365.9
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
Third
5968
#74
38.00.4
41.341.6
Auto10.5
Teleop25.5
End2.0
blue by 2.8
649
#52
40.82.6
39.341.9
Auto8.9
Teleop28.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned