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Red182
167164.2
148149.1
263081.6
Blue209
441582.7
496764.5
478662.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205205185190195200210182209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+29
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points28
41Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +43
25Coral scored#32
91Coral points114
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
12Processor points12
4Net points24
16Algae points36
107Total teleop150
Reef
14L4#14
5L3#9
9L2#11
5L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#46
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
8Foul points6
182Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.62.2
79.677.4
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
blue by 1.1
82.70.2
77.777.5
Auto13.7
Teleop57.6
End11.4
Second
1671
#24
64.22.2
68.866.6
Auto17.0
Teleop40.5
End6.7
blue by 0.3
4967
#27
64.50.2
57.357.1
Auto13.9
Teleop41.4
End9.2
Third
1481
#70
49.12.2
47.545.3
Auto11.2
Teleop31.5
End6.4
blue by 13.5
4786
#15
62.60.2
60.159.8
Auto17.2
Teleop41.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned