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Red224
179696.5
928044.3
614645.1
Blue208
880847.5
53738.0
69496.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195194180190200210220224208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points31
41Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +2
24Coral scored#25
87Coral points89
7Processor algae#5
7Net algae#9
42Processor points30
28Net points36
70Algae points66
157Total teleop155
Reef
12L4#13
9L3#5
5L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#45
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
224Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.51.8
96.298.0
Auto25.7
Teleop58.9
End11.8
Level
694
#9
96.50.6
95.495.9
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
Second
6146
#53
45.11.8
39.240.9
Auto4.7
Teleop34.9
End5.5
blue by 2.4
8808
#73
47.50.6
45.445.9
Auto10.0
Teleop33.1
End4.3
Third
9280
#66
44.31.8
40.342.1
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End2.3
red by 6.3
537
#68
38.00.6
35.536.0
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned