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Red123
142573.2
328446.7
1026019.8
Blue194
317374.8
691153.1
752539.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14516080100120180200220240123194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+61
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave3
7Coral scored#11
33Coral points55
33Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +36
14Coral scored#23
50Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
78Total teleop114
Reef
6L4#18
5L3#7
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
6Foul points6
123Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#12
73.20.7
68.467.7
Auto19.5
Teleop43.6
End10.0
blue by 1.7
3173
#45
74.83.1
71.874.9
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7
Second
3284
#63
46.70.7
39.438.8
Auto6.7
Teleop39.9
End0.1
blue by 6.4
6911
#57
53.13.1
43.446.5
Auto7.0
Teleop41.2
End4.9
Third
19.80.7
19.118.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End0.8
blue by 19.7
7525
#16
39.53.1
26.629.7
Auto14.3
Teleop22.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned