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Red227
400554.7
7861.0
461368.4
Blue195
873857.3
150765.6
690932.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193163050100250300350227195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+22Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
10Coral scored#7
50Coral points34
50Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +12
25Coral scored#30
89Coral points109
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
30Processor points18
32Net points12
62Algae points30
151Total teleop139
Reef
13L4#12
9L3#10
6L2#9
7L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
227Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#42
68.42.8
59.562.3
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6
red by 2.7
1507
#25
65.62.0
63.865.8
Auto13.4
Teleop42.6
End9.7
Second
78
#18
61.02.8
62.365.1
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End8.6
red by 3.7
8738
#26
57.32.0
56.358.2
Auto15.6
Teleop40.4
End1.3
Third
4005
#29
54.72.8
49.352.1
Auto9.5
Teleop35.6
End9.6
red by 22.3
6909
#71
32.42.0
31.133.1
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned