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Red114
931245.8
325659.5
243850.5
Blue251
1678105.6
642469.1
183373.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15826250100200300350114251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+52
Teleop+121
Endgame+131
Fouls+137
AutonomousBlue +52
0Leave6
3Coral scored#12
13Coral points59
13Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +69
18Coral scored#36
63Coral points130
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
85Total teleop154
Reef
8L4#19
5L3#13
5L2#11
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +137
0Foul points6
114Total score251

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#58
59.53.6
56.152.5
Auto11.8
Teleop39.0
End8.7
blue by 46.1
105.60.5
100.099.5
Auto27.0
Teleop66.4
End12.2
Second
2438
#72
50.53.6
54.751.0
Auto11.5
Teleop37.8
End1.3
blue by 23.4
1833
#22
73.90.5
76.275.6
Auto17.3
Teleop47.2
End9.5
Third
9312
#64
45.83.6
46.342.7
Auto12.0
Teleop27.2
End6.7
blue by 23.2
69.10.5
65.865.2
Auto13.4
Teleop43.1
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned100%Barge oddsEarned