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Red142
683226.7
857549.6
173164.0
Blue152
329757.0
634838.4
389139.2
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137154050100200250300142152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
21Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#20
59Coral points72
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#9
24Processor points12
32Net points36
56Algae points48
115Total teleop120
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#9
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
142Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#37
64.01.0
52.153.1
Auto14.8
Teleop39.3
End9.9
red by 7.1
3297
#11
57.00.4
56.556.8
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End7.2
Second
8575
#21
49.61.0
45.946.8
Auto6.7
Teleop40.0
End2.9
red by 10.3
3891
#46
39.20.4
39.039.4
Auto8.7
Teleop28.1
End2.4
Third
6832
#75
26.71.0
20.721.7
Auto3.5
Teleop19.3
End3.9
blue by 11.7
6348
#41
38.40.4
36.436.8
Auto5.9
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed