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Red222
90067.8
465578.8
703463.3
Blue192
64940.8
566065.9
325574.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216177100150200250300222192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points38
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +23
26Coral scored#29
93Coral points104
4Processor algae#3
12Net algae#5
24Processor points18
48Net points20
72Algae points38
165Total teleop142
Reef
14L4#17
12L3#7
4L2#8
6L1 · trough#5
52Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
222Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.80.5
74.775.1
Auto21.3
Teleop48.0
End9.5
red by 4.3
3255
#39
74.51.0
69.770.6
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End10.6
Second
900
#19
67.80.5
69.670.0
Auto18.1
Teleop48.8
End0.9
red by 1.9
5660
#28
65.91.0
54.655.6
Auto12.6
Teleop45.4
End7.9
Third
7034
#38
63.30.5
59.760.1
Auto16.6
Teleop40.9
End5.9
red by 22.5
649
#52
40.81.0
41.942.9
Auto8.9
Teleop28.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsMissed