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Red247
725767.8
478662.6
212969.5
Blue158
401320.7
943270.2
30268.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198167100150250300247158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+77Teleop
+89Endgame
+89Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +77
38Coral scored#16
136Coral points57
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
170Total teleop93
Reef
19L4#7
8L3#10
13L2#6
8L1 · trough#2
55Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
0Foul points0
247Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#51
69.53.4
65.669.0
Auto18.2
Teleop48.9
End2.4
blue by 0.8
9432
#23
70.20.4
65.665.2
Auto16.5
Teleop44.5
End9.2
Second
7257
#33
67.83.4
58.662.1
Auto14.3
Teleop44.7
End8.8
blue by 0.5
302
#35
68.20.4
69.168.7
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
Third
4786
#15
62.63.4
59.863.3
Auto17.2
Teleop41.4
End4.0
red by 41.8
4013
#65
20.70.4
17.817.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed