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Red202
873857.3
379253.3
22671.6
Blue194
496764.5
41858.6
903260.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219199160180240260280300202194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points41
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +3
24Coral scored#29
88Coral points103
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
126Total teleop123
Reef
13L4#18
7L3#8
9L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#41
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
202Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#17
71.60.7
73.072.3
Auto18.6
Teleop43.7
End9.3
red by 7.1
4967
#27
64.50.3
57.156.8
Auto13.9
Teleop41.4
End9.2
Second
8738
#26
57.30.7
58.257.5
Auto15.6
Teleop40.4
End1.3
blue by 3.0
9032
#43
60.30.3
61.361.0
Auto11.7
Teleop45.3
End3.3
Third
3792
#10
53.30.7
55.054.3
Auto10.6
Teleop33.4
End9.3
blue by 5.3
418
#20
58.60.3
60.460.1
Auto14.0
Teleop35.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned