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Red185
30268.2
690932.4
478662.6
Blue128
1029135.2
64940.8
1026019.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173570100150200250185128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+55Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
29Coral scored#21
106Coral points75
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
18Processor points6
12Net points24
30Algae points30
136Total teleop105
Reef
11L4#9
11L3#7
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
185Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#35
68.21.7
65.867.6
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
red by 27.4
649
#52
40.83.6
33.236.9
Auto8.9
Teleop28.4
End3.6
Second
4786
#15
62.61.7
56.958.6
Auto17.2
Teleop41.4
End4.0
red by 27.4
35.23.6
16.920.5
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End6.0
Third
6909
#71
32.42.3
25.327.6
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End5.4
red by 12.6
19.83.6
12.315.9
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed