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Red152
329757.0
719752.5
566065.9
Blue107
928044.3
931245.8
400554.7
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165162120140180152107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave9
7Coral scored#0
37Coral points0
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
19Coral scored#10
68Coral points36
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
96Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#2
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points12
152Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#28
65.90.4
52.051.6
Auto12.6
Teleop45.4
End7.9
red by 11.2
4005
#29
54.74.2
52.748.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.6
End9.6
Second
3297
#11
57.00.4
50.850.4
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End7.2
red by 11.1
9312
#64
45.84.2
56.752.6
Auto12.0
Teleop27.2
End6.7
Third
7197
#60
52.50.4
51.951.6
Auto11.8
Teleop40.1
End0.6
red by 8.2
9280
#66
44.34.2
45.541.3
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned