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Red134
699569.7
601737.2
167164.2
Blue128
690932.4
948440.9
272449.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194120050100150250300134128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
Teleop+2
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave0
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points15
40Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +27
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points49
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
18Processor points24
12Net points24
30Algae points48
70Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
134Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#13
69.72.8
65.963.1
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
red by 20.6
2724
#40
49.20.3
40.340.6
Auto8.2
Teleop32.1
End8.8
Second
1671
#24
64.22.8
66.663.8
Auto17.0
Teleop40.5
End6.7
red by 23.3
9484
#55
40.90.3
39.339.6
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End4.8
Third
6017
#44
37.22.8
32.830.0
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End7.8
red by 4.8
6909
#71
32.40.3
33.133.3
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned