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Red267
7861.0
719752.5
2056119.8
Blue214
406878.0
264863.7
328446.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255181100150200300350267214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+37Teleop
+47Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
12Coral scored#9
59Coral points44
65Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +16
35Coral scored#33
126Coral points120
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#4
12Processor points18
32Net points16
44Algae points34
170Total teleop154
Reef
14L4#17
15L3#10
9L2#6
9L1 · trough#9
57Game pieces#49
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points0
267Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.81.3
110.9112.2
Auto30.9
Teleop76.5
End12.4
red by 41.9
4068
#14
78.02.0
73.075.0
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
Second
78
#18
61.01.3
65.166.4
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End8.6
blue by 2.7
2648
#59
63.72.0
61.063.0
Auto11.1
Teleop47.8
End4.8
Third
7197
#60
52.51.3
54.455.7
Auto11.8
Teleop40.1
End0.6
red by 5.8
3284
#63
46.72.0
38.840.8
Auto6.7
Teleop39.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned