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Red207
317374.8
142573.2
857549.6
Blue246
263081.6
179696.5
642469.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194263100150300350207246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
33Coral points34
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +22
25Coral scored#34
91Coral points123
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#8
30Processor points12
24Net points32
54Algae points44
145Total teleop167
Reef
13L4#19
7L3#12
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
207Total score246

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#45
74.80.2
74.975.1
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7
blue by 21.7
96.51.0
98.097.0
Auto25.7
Teleop58.9
End11.8
Second
1425
#12
73.20.2
67.767.9
Auto19.5
Teleop43.6
End10.0
blue by 8.4
81.61.0
77.476.4
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
Third
8575
#21
49.60.2
46.847.1
Auto6.7
Teleop40.0
End2.9
blue by 19.5
69.11.0
65.264.2
Auto13.4
Teleop43.1
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned100%Barge oddsEarned