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Red163
928044.3
243850.5
325574.5
Blue184
478662.6
445171.0
683226.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18216350100150200250300163184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points40
29Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +2
24Coral scored#23
86Coral points84
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#7
18Processor points6
16Net points28
34Algae points34
120Total teleop118
Reef
13L4#11
5L3#9
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
163Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#39
74.50.8
70.669.8
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End10.6
red by 3.5
4451
#34
71.01.5
65.066.6
Auto14.5
Teleop50.1
End6.4
Second
2438
#72
50.50.8
51.050.2
Auto11.5
Teleop37.8
End1.3
blue by 12.1
4786
#15
62.61.5
63.364.8
Auto17.2
Teleop41.4
End4.0
Third
9280
#66
44.30.8
42.141.3
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End2.3
red by 17.6
6832
#75
26.71.5
21.723.2
Auto3.5
Teleop19.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned