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Red210
1678105.6
614645.1
873857.3
Blue129
596838.0
389139.2
450063.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226150100200250300210129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+71Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
11Coral scored#7
55Coral points34
58Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +53
20Coral scored#16
72Coral points59
5Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
30Processor points6
24Net points8
54Algae points14
126Total teleop73
Reef
16L4#10
6L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
210Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.60.1
99.599.5
Auto27.0
Teleop66.4
End12.2
red by 41.9
4500
#56
63.71.8
63.661.8
Auto16.0
Teleop39.7
End7.9
Second
8738
#26
57.30.1
57.557.6
Auto15.6
Teleop40.4
End1.3
red by 18.0
3891
#46
39.21.8
39.437.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.1
End2.4
Third
6146
#53
45.10.1
40.941.0
Auto4.7
Teleop34.9
End5.5
red by 7.1
5968
#74
38.01.8
41.639.8
Auto10.5
Teleop25.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned