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Red166
460777.6
1069825.9
136939.7
Blue221
465578.8
30268.2
903260.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13423450100150200250300350166221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave3
6Coral scored#11
30Coral points55
30Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +17
19Coral scored#20
70Coral points73
4Processor algae#5
5Net algae#7
24Processor points30
20Net points28
44Algae points58
114Total teleop131
Reef
12L4#10
6L3#12
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
6Foul points6
166Total score221

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#31
77.61.6
70.271.7
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
blue by 1.2
78.80.1
75.175.0
Auto21.3
Teleop48.0
End9.5
Second
1369
#50
39.71.6
30.131.7
Auto6.1
Teleop30.4
End3.2
blue by 28.6
302
#35
68.20.1
68.768.7
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
Third
25.91.6
25.026.5
Auto1.5
Teleop18.4
End6.0
blue by 34.4
9032
#43
60.30.1
61.061.0
Auto11.7
Teleop45.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned