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Red176
349232.6
719752.5
53738.0
Blue252
263081.6
1029135.2
699569.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12520250100150250300176252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+56
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +30
6Leave0
4Coral scored#11
21Coral points57
27Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +26
24Coral scored#30
85Coral points109
2Processor algae#5
9Net algae#5
12Processor points30
36Net points20
48Algae points50
133Total teleop159
Reef
10L4#11
9L3#14
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#8
39Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points0
176Total score252

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#60
52.53.0
55.758.7
Auto11.8
Teleop40.1
End0.6
blue by 29.1
81.64.6
76.481.0
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
Second
537
#68
38.03.0
36.039.1
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End4.6
blue by 31.7
6995
#13
69.74.6
63.167.7
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
Third
3492
#61
32.63.0
27.730.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.4
End-0.1
blue by 2.6
35.24.6
32.236.8
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned