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Red170
17979.1
184743.4
948440.9
Blue192
150765.6
317374.8
931245.8
24%Model gave it76%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16420850100250300350170192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+12
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave6
5Coral scored#8
26Coral points42
35Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +1
26Coral scored#28
95Coral points100
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
119Total teleop118
Reef
16L4#9
5L3#16
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
170Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
79.11.1
77.578.6
Auto15.2
Teleop55.8
End8.0
red by 4.2
3173
#45
74.80.5
75.175.6
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7
Second
1847
#30
43.41.1
36.737.8
Auto6.5
Teleop30.7
End6.2
blue by 22.2
1507
#25
65.60.5
67.067.5
Auto13.4
Teleop42.6
End9.7
Third
9484
#55
40.91.1
39.640.7
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End4.8
blue by 4.9
9312
#64
45.80.5
42.743.2
Auto12.0
Teleop27.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed82%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned