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Red220
264863.7
212969.5
496764.5
Blue225
400554.7
69496.5
704841.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20019050100150250300350220225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +12
30Coral scored#26
108Coral points94
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#10
24Processor points18
32Net points40
56Algae points58
164Total teleop152
Reef
16L4#10
10L3#11
5L2#9
6L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
220Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#51
69.50.6
69.069.6
Auto18.2
Teleop48.9
End2.4
blue by 27.0
694
#9
96.51.8
95.997.7
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
Second
4967
#27
64.50.6
56.857.4
Auto13.9
Teleop41.4
End9.2
red by 9.8
4005
#29
54.71.8
50.552.3
Auto9.5
Teleop35.6
End9.6
Third
2648
#59
63.70.6
63.063.5
Auto11.1
Teleop47.8
End4.8
red by 22.6
7048
#62
41.11.8
28.930.7
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned