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Red177
930136.1
148149.1
41858.6
Blue197
634838.4
406878.0
142573.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155199100250300177197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+46
Endgame+26
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points42
37Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +35
13Coral scored#27
48Coral points97
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#6
18Processor points12
32Net points24
50Algae points36
98Total teleop133
Reef
9L4#12
4L3#10
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#43
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points0
177Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#20
58.61.4
60.161.5
Auto14.0
Teleop35.5
End9.1
blue by 19.4
4068
#14
78.00.4
75.075.4
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
Second
1481
#70
49.11.4
45.346.7
Auto11.2
Teleop31.5
End6.4
blue by 24.1
1425
#12
73.20.4
67.968.3
Auto19.5
Teleop43.6
End10.0
Third
9301
#36
36.11.4
33.735.1
Auto7.9
Teleop18.3
End9.9
blue by 2.3
6348
#41
38.40.4
36.837.2
Auto5.9
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed60%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned