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Red177
703463.3
873857.3
325659.5
Blue188
725767.8
272449.2
136939.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20215350100250300177188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points28
54Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +11
21Coral scored#26
75Coral points94
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
117Total teleop128
Reef
11L4#11
8L3#12
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
177Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7034
#38
63.30.1
63.263.1
Auto16.6
Teleop40.9
End5.9
blue by 4.5
7257
#33
67.82.9
65.268.1
Auto14.3
Teleop44.7
End8.8
Second
3256
#58
59.50.1
53.152.9
Auto11.8
Teleop39.0
End8.7
red by 10.3
2724
#40
49.22.9
42.044.9
Auto8.2
Teleop32.1
End8.8
Third
8738
#26
57.30.1
57.657.5
Auto15.6
Teleop40.4
End1.3
red by 17.6
1369
#50
39.72.9
31.734.6
Auto6.1
Teleop30.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned