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Red155
325574.5
1026019.8
596838.0
Blue214
460777.6
401320.7
441582.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14520050100250300155214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+53
Fouls+59
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
7Coral scored#6
33Coral points30
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +36
16Coral scored#26
56Coral points94
4Processor algae#5
7Net algae#5
24Processor points30
28Net points20
52Algae points50
108Total teleop144
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#8
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
8Foul points14
155Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#39
74.50.3
69.870.1
Auto15.7
Teleop48.1
End10.6
blue by 8.2
82.71.3
80.281.4
Auto13.7
Teleop57.6
End11.4
Second
5968
#74
38.00.3
39.840.1
Auto10.5
Teleop25.5
End2.0
blue by 39.6
4607
#31
77.61.3
71.773.0
Auto16.4
Teleop52.8
End8.4
Third
19.80.3
21.421.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End0.8
blue by 1.0
4013
#65
20.71.3
18.019.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned