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Red185
642469.1
328446.7
1029135.2
Blue164
461368.4
683226.7
614645.1
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17114750100200250300185164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
33Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +10
21Coral scored#25
74Coral points90
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
112Total teleop122
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#10
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
14Foul points0
185Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.11.5
64.265.8
Auto13.4
Teleop43.1
End12.6
red by 0.7
4613
#42
68.41.9
65.967.9
Auto11.5
Teleop46.3
End10.6
Second
3284
#63
46.71.5
40.942.4
Auto6.7
Teleop39.9
End0.1
red by 1.6
6146
#53
45.11.9
41.042.9
Auto4.7
Teleop34.9
End5.5
Third
35.21.5
36.838.3
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End6.0
red by 8.5
6832
#75
26.71.9
23.225.1
Auto3.5
Teleop19.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned