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Red194
30268.2
183373.9
880847.5
Blue203
150765.6
263081.6
445171.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199228150250300350194203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
10Coral scored#11
49Coral points55
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +1
22Coral scored#22
78Coral points79
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
24Processor points24
16Net points16
40Algae points40
118Total teleop119
Reef
8L4#15
11L3#7
9L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points0
194Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1833
#22
73.90.1
75.475.5
Auto17.3
Teleop47.2
End9.5
blue by 7.7
81.60.8
81.080.2
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
Second
302
#35
68.20.1
68.768.8
Auto20.9
Teleop44.1
End3.2
blue by 2.8
4451
#34
71.00.8
66.665.8
Auto14.5
Teleop50.1
End6.4
Third
8808
#73
47.50.1
46.146.2
Auto10.0
Teleop33.1
End4.3
blue by 18.2
1507
#25
65.60.8
67.566.7
Auto13.4
Teleop42.6
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned