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Red154
1069825.9
400554.7
478662.6
Blue141
53738.0
90067.8
919947.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15717450100200250154141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +27
23Coral scored#18
84Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
106Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#10
10L3#7
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points12
154Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#15
62.60.6
64.865.4
Auto17.2
Teleop41.4
End4.0
blue by 5.2
900
#19
67.82.0
69.867.7
Auto18.1
Teleop48.8
End0.9
Second
4005
#29
54.70.6
52.352.9
Auto9.5
Teleop35.6
End9.6
red by 7.1
9199
#48
47.62.0
50.548.5
Auto10.9
Teleop28.7
End8.0
Third
25.90.6
26.527.1
Auto1.5
Teleop18.4
End6.0
blue by 12.1
537
#68
38.02.0
39.137.0
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed