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Red217
22671.6
699569.7
943270.2
Blue208
2056119.8
634838.4
931245.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224213180200240260280217208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +15
26Coral scored#23
94Coral points83
3Processor algae#6
7Net algae#9
18Processor points36
28Net points36
46Algae points72
140Total teleop155
Reef
13L4#10
7L3#10
9L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
217Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#17
71.60.1
72.272.1
Auto18.6
Teleop43.7
End9.3
blue by 48.2
119.80.1
114.7114.8
Auto30.9
Teleop76.5
End12.4
Second
9432
#23
70.20.1
67.767.6
Auto16.5
Teleop44.5
End9.2
red by 24.4
9312
#64
45.80.1
43.243.3
Auto12.0
Teleop27.2
End6.7
Third
6995
#13
69.70.1
67.767.6
Auto17.3
Teleop45.2
End7.3
red by 31.3
6348
#41
38.40.1
37.237.3
Auto5.9
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned