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Red212
379253.3
17979.1
69496.5
Blue154
389139.2
167164.2
719752.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274179100150200250300350212154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+18Teleop
+48Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points30
50Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +1
21Coral scored#25
76Coral points91
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
116Total teleop115
Reef
10L4#14
10L3#6
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#36
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
10Foul points0
212Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#9
96.53.3
97.794.5
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
red by 32.3
1671
#24
64.21.9
66.364.5
Auto17.0
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Second
179
#5
79.13.3
78.675.4
Auto15.2
Teleop55.8
End8.0
red by 26.6
7197
#60
52.51.9
58.756.9
Auto11.8
Teleop40.1
End0.6
Third
3792
#10
53.33.3
54.751.5
Auto10.6
Teleop33.4
End9.3
red by 14.0
3891
#46
39.21.9
37.635.7
Auto8.7
Teleop28.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed