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Red183
142573.2
184743.4
566065.9
Blue127
690932.4
608335.1
243850.5
93%Model gave it7%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18612050100150200250183127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +44
27Coral scored#19
98Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
134Total teleop90
Reef
9L4#10
10L3#7
9L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
183Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#12
73.20.8
68.369.1
Auto19.5
Teleop43.6
End10.0
red by 22.7
2438
#72
50.50.3
50.250.5
Auto11.5
Teleop37.8
End1.3
Second
5660
#28
65.90.8
56.257.0
Auto12.6
Teleop45.4
End7.9
red by 30.8
6083
#67
35.10.3
31.231.5
Auto7.8
Teleop23.2
End4.1
Third
1847
#30
43.40.8
37.838.6
Auto6.5
Teleop30.7
End6.2
red by 11.0
6909
#71
32.40.3
33.533.7
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed