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Red157
601737.2
704841.1
173164.0
Blue102
148149.1
64940.8
7861.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12418450100150200250157102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+53Teleop
+53Endgame
+55Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +53
19Coral scored#11
67Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
109Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#4
9L3#6
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
2Foul points0
157Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#37
64.02.0
52.854.8
Auto14.8
Teleop39.3
End9.9
red by 3.1
78
#18
61.04.4
67.062.6
Auto15.8
Teleop36.5
End8.6
Second
7048
#62
41.12.0
30.732.7
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End6.5
blue by 8.0
1481
#70
49.14.4
46.742.2
Auto11.2
Teleop31.5
End6.4
Third
6017
#44
37.22.0
30.432.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End7.8
blue by 3.7
649
#52
40.84.4
43.539.1
Auto8.9
Teleop28.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned