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Red234
903260.3
1678105.6
90067.8
Blue210
184743.4
69496.5
148149.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235180100150200250300234210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points35
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +27
34Coral scored#30
121Coral points108
5Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
30Processor points12
16Net points20
46Algae points32
167Total teleop140
Reef
12L4#13
16L3#12
10L2#6
5L1 · trough#6
52Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
234Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.60.1
98.298.1
Auto27.0
Teleop66.4
End12.2
red by 9.1
694
#9
96.51.5
91.492.9
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
Second
900
#19
67.80.1
68.468.3
Auto18.1
Teleop48.8
End0.9
red by 18.7
1481
#70
49.11.5
48.850.2
Auto11.2
Teleop31.5
End6.4
Third
9032
#43
60.30.1
57.957.8
Auto11.7
Teleop45.3
End3.3
red by 16.9
1847
#30
43.41.5
36.337.8
Auto6.5
Teleop30.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned