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Red190
614645.1
379253.3
634838.4
Blue225
136939.7
400554.7
263081.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161206100250300190225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+27
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave0
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points33
18Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +12
30Coral scored#23
108Coral points82
4Processor algae#7
6Net algae#11
24Processor points42
24Net points44
48Algae points86
156Total teleop168
Reef
9L4#10
12L3#6
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#7
42Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
190Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#10
53.31.5
51.553.0
Auto10.6
Teleop33.4
End9.3
blue by 28.3
81.61.7
80.281.9
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
Second
6146
#53
45.11.5
42.944.4
Auto4.7
Teleop34.9
End5.5
blue by 9.6
4005
#29
54.71.7
52.954.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.6
End9.6
Third
6348
#41
38.41.5
37.338.8
Auto5.9
Teleop32.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
1369
#50
39.71.7
34.636.2
Auto6.1
Teleop30.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned