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Red196
184743.4
264863.7
943270.2
Blue157
880847.5
703463.3
1029135.2
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18716250100250300350196157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+25Teleop
+37Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points33
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +24
21Coral scored#22
75Coral points79
6Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
36Processor points12
20Net points16
56Algae points28
131Total teleop107
Reef
12L4#13
9L3#6
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#35
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
2Foul points0
196Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9432
#23
70.21.7
67.669.4
Auto16.5
Teleop44.5
End9.2
red by 6.9
7034
#38
63.30.6
63.163.7
Auto16.6
Teleop40.9
End5.9
Second
2648
#59
63.71.7
61.863.5
Auto11.1
Teleop47.8
End4.8
red by 16.2
8808
#73
47.50.6
46.246.8
Auto10.0
Teleop33.1
End4.3
Third
1847
#30
43.41.7
38.640.3
Auto6.5
Teleop30.7
End6.2
red by 8.2
35.20.6
38.339.0
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed