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Red224
148149.1
243850.5
179696.5
Blue149
719752.5
49467.6
401320.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217161100200250300224149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+51Teleop
+71Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
10Coral scored#8
48Coral points38
54Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +41
32Coral scored#20
114Coral points71
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
140Total teleop99
Reef
16L4#10
12L3#9
9L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
4Foul points0
224Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.51.3
95.897.2
Auto25.7
Teleop58.9
End11.8
red by 28.9
494
#47
67.60.6
71.070.4
Auto15.0
Teleop41.8
End10.8
Second
2438
#72
50.51.3
50.551.8
Auto11.5
Teleop37.8
End1.3
blue by 2.0
7197
#60
52.50.6
56.956.2
Auto11.8
Teleop40.1
End0.6
Third
1481
#70
49.11.3
42.243.6
Auto11.2
Teleop31.5
End6.4
red by 28.3
4013
#65
20.70.6
19.318.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed