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Red162
690932.4
22671.6
691153.1
Blue219
1678105.6
704841.1
329757.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163212100150200250300162219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+61
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points42
33Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +43
18Coral scored#34
65Coral points122
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
24Processor points18
24Net points16
48Algae points34
113Total teleop156
Reef
8L4#16
6L3#8
5L2#13
4L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#49
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
162Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#17
71.60.4
72.171.7
Auto18.6
Teleop43.7
End9.3
blue by 33.9
105.61.1
100.3101.4
Auto27.0
Teleop66.4
End12.2
Second
6911
#57
53.10.4
47.947.5
Auto7.0
Teleop41.2
End4.9
blue by 3.8
3297
#11
57.01.1
55.056.2
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End7.2
Third
6909
#71
32.40.4
33.733.3
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End5.4
blue by 8.7
7048
#62
41.11.1
32.733.8
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsMissed