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Red227
445171.0
496764.5
173164.0
Blue217
919947.6
566065.9
406878.0
39%Model gave it61%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185191140160180200220227217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points42
51Total auto51
Teleoperatedlevel
27Coral scored#27
98Coral points98
3Processor algae#5
6Net algae#3
18Processor points30
24Net points12
42Algae points42
140Total teleop140
Reef
18L4#13
9L3#12
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
227Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#34
71.03.2
65.869.0
Auto14.5
Teleop50.1
End6.4
blue by 7.0
4068
#14
78.02.5
74.376.8
Auto21.5
Teleop52.1
End4.4
Second
4967
#27
64.53.2
58.261.4
Auto13.9
Teleop41.4
End9.2
blue by 1.4
5660
#28
65.92.5
57.059.5
Auto12.6
Teleop45.4
End7.9
Third
1731
#37
64.03.2
54.858.0
Auto14.8
Teleop39.3
End9.9
red by 16.4
9199
#48
47.62.5
48.551.0
Auto10.9
Teleop28.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned