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Red171
212969.5
928044.3
601737.2
Blue220
389139.2
142573.2
465578.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16120650100250300171220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
7Coral scored#10
34Coral points51
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +17
24Coral scored#24
88Coral points87
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
18Processor points24
12Net points24
30Algae points48
118Total teleop135
Reef
7L4#16
9L3#9
10L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points8
171Total score220

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#51
69.51.0
68.369.3
Auto18.2
Teleop48.9
End2.4
blue by 9.3
78.81.5
73.875.3
Auto21.3
Teleop48.0
End9.5
Second
9280
#66
44.31.0
43.544.6
Auto5.0
Teleop37.0
End2.3
blue by 28.9
1425
#12
73.21.5
69.170.6
Auto19.5
Teleop43.6
End10.0
Third
6017
#44
37.21.0
32.433.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End7.8
blue by 2.1
3891
#46
39.21.5
35.737.2
Auto8.7
Teleop28.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned