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Red217
167164.2
69496.5
752539.5
Blue138
1069825.9
317374.8
64940.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21914950100200250300350217138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+87Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
12Coral scored#5
58Coral points27
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +59
23Coral scored#15
83Coral points54
6Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
36Processor points18
24Net points12
60Algae points30
143Total teleop84
Reef
15L4#7
7L3#6
8L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
217Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#9
96.50.7
94.595.2
Auto24.2
Teleop58.2
End14.1
red by 21.6
3173
#45
74.80.8
74.473.6
Auto17.8
Teleop45.4
End11.7
Second
1671
#24
64.20.7
64.565.2
Auto17.0
Teleop40.5
End6.7
red by 23.4
649
#52
40.80.8
39.138.3
Auto8.9
Teleop28.4
End3.6
Third
7525
#16
39.50.7
36.337.0
Auto14.3
Teleop22.1
End3.1
red by 13.6
25.90.8
27.126.3
Auto1.5
Teleop18.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned